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TODAY'S POST


Friday, 22 July 2016

10 Investment Rules

A must read if you have lost more and gained less in the market

Moses was coming down the stairs of the Bombay Stock Exchange building after a rough trading session one rainy day and look what he found peeking out of the false ceiling on the 10th floor landing, written in the hand of God...

God entrusted to Moses the noble task of protecting the small investor from the vagaries of the market and the attempts of various vested interests to waylay them on their path to safe investing. Safe investing, said God, was a mere matter of following these ten simple rules.

Commandment 1: Don't attempt to time the market

Timing the market is no guessing matter. To the little investor, timing the market is like taking a random walk. Most people only recognise the correct path after already having set foot on the wrong one. One exception to this is “bottom-fishing”, an approach to buy stocks that you want in your portfolio at prices below the prevailing levels. This entails biding your time and buying into a market downturn before the others do (the age-old philosophy of buying low, selling high). The downside of this approach being that the stock you want may never see the downside you expect.

Commandment 2: Don't try to outguess the market

Market psychology is for shrinks, not for couch potatoes like we humans. What captures the imagination of the market is transient. This means that what is “in” today is “out” tomorrow. Most people only recognise the pattern after it has become apparent to almost everyone else and is too late to act upon. For example, if investment in technology appears to be the current flavour, you are probably already too late to cash in on the trend. In this instance, you should only invest in technology as part of a long-term balanced approach.

Commandment 3: Treat investing like marriage--go for the long haul

Short-term investing could go either way. Invest for the long term. Almost all market pundits and investment studies show that stock investing should be part of a long-term strategy, lasting for five to ten, or even 20, years or longer. Beware that not every year will result in a positive return on your investment. However, over time the plus will likely overwhelm the minus by a substantial margin.

Commandment 4: Almost always invest in blue chips and blue chips-to-be

Do invest in companies that are considered blue chips. These include not only the BSE 100, but also the others that are slowly stepping into the big league. Invest only in established companies with a good track record. Beware that not every blue chip will rise after you buy it, and that even these otherwise stellar performers will have their good months/years and bad months/years. But over time, the fluctuations will even out and you would be left with a considerable net plus. Also invest in companies that have a good record of declaring dividends (and if you find the solitary one that increases its dividend pay-out each year...you know what to do).

Commandment 5: Prefer steady installment-like buying of stock to buying at one go

Investing should never be done in panic or be treated as an emergency. Purchasing your favourite few is best accomplished at a steady rate over time, so as to avoid the ups and downs of the market. This is called rupee cost averaging and is one of the safest approaches to investing. It works just like any other habit: you buy, regardless whether the price is up or down, until you reach the desired number of shares of that stock.

Commandment 6: Diversify, diversify and diversify

Do diversify your portfolio, both within your selected sectors and within the overall industry. For example, don't invest in only technology because it happens to be in vogue but consider the other industries as well.


Commandment 7: No shopping with borrowed money and maintain a core reserve

Never use margin money to buy stocks. You should not invest money you don't have. A simple and basic rule is to not leverage yourself to an extent that when the tide turns against you, all you are left with is nothing. You never know when a financial emergency might arise. That's why you must keep a comfortable cash reserve in your savings account, so you do not have to tap into your long-term investments. A reserve equal to six months of salary should be just about ideal.

Commandment 8: Set realistic financial goals

Treat a 500% return with as much derision as you would a 5% return. Decide what you need the money for: To retire early, to finance your kid's college education or to fund your daughter's marriage or just to preserve and build wealth? Whatever the goal you set, make sure it is reasonable and attainable. Expecting too much will only lead to disappointment down the road. Aim for an expected return level that is realistic--not mediocre or overambitious.

Commandment 9: Leave your emotions behind

Finally, leave your emotions behind when you enter the world of investing.

Commandment 10: There are 10 more commandments

For those who thought that was the last of the 10 commandments I have news. There's more. Ensure that your portfolio size is controllable (15 stocks is about ideal) and your stocks are well researched. Checkpoints: Is the management quality above board? Does the company have a positive cash flow? Does it have the capability to compete on a global scale? Most importantly, is it shareholder friendly?

Follow the Ten Commandments. Time is on your side. Investment success won't happen overnight, so stay focused on long-term returns and avoid overreacting to short-term market swings. Remember, investment success depends on time, not timing.

Thursday, 9 June 2016

Best Stocks in India 2016-2017 in NSE-BSE

What is Stocks Investing? What are best stocks in India NSE-BSE? Have you just started to invest in the stock market?

You have found some stocks trading at just Rs.5 or 10. What an opportunity? There must be blind people to leave these stocks unnoticed. I will profit from them. It can easily double or triple.
If this is your thought then that is exactly ‘Stocks Investing‘. But is this rational? Let us find out….

I have a friend who bought a lot of Birla Power Solutions and Jupiter Biosciences in 2009. These were really hot penny stocks in late 2008. Let me tell you that he regrets his decision now. They have gone way down.

Best Stocks to buy in India 2016-2017 on NSE - BSE

Are you gung ho about buying top stocks? You’ve made up your mind already? While I would certainly advice to invest in top quality stocks, here are a list of top low cost shares to invest in 2016-2017. How did we select them? The criteria we used for choosing best stocks was…
  • We made sure they’re not companies that vanish overnight. They must have been around a few years
  • They may not strictly be penny shares but border around them. Ie., each shares costs less than Rs.25 and market Cap less than 500crores
  • Their products/services must be real and visible
  • Must have some downside protection in short-term
  • Promoter holding must be 40% minimum
By this way we can at least make sure to screen the majority of bad companies (which most penny stocks usually are). Here is the list of top shares in India that meet above criteria




1)  IL& FS Investment Managers – This is a very good company managed by IL&FS group. They are involved in Private Equity business and are the only listed PE firm in India. IL&FS has a strong brand equity. The last value of stock was around Rs.21 . It gives a very good dividend and has no debts. While you cannot expect it to triple or quadruple in next year, it is somewhat a decent stock to buy in at low cost per share.
Update: This penny stock paid Rs 1.3 as dividend ie., 7% of cost price. It is also down by Rs.2. The decent fundamentals are still intact.

2)  JVL Agro Industries – It has a Market Cap of around Rs.200 crores and trading at around Rs.15 per share. It has P/E of 4 and book value of Rs.15. JVLis the largest single in-house manufacturer of Vanaspathi Oils. It has a dividend yield of around 1.5%
Update – This penny stock has moved from Rs 16.9 to Rs 20.5. Not great performance but not bad either.

3)  NeoCorp International Ltd – Neo Corp is a packaging provider expecially in textile manufacturing. It manufactures under PackTech brand. It has a market cap of around Rs.60 crores and per share costs around Rs.15. The PE ratio is close to 2 and dividend yield is 4%.
Update:The market cap of this penny stock has doubled in last one year after featuring first on our list. It now trades at Rs31.

4)  Genus Power Infrastructure – This is one of the leading electricity meters manufacturer in India. Have moderate debt on their books. The stock costs around Rs.21 and the market cap is around Rs.500crore. The PE ratio is around 9 and promoter holds around 50%. Earns around Rs70 crore profit every year. Decent fundamentals.
Update: This penny stock has gone up to Rs 46 now from Rs 21 when we first listed it. More than doubled.

5) Manali Petrochemicals – The company earns around a quarterly profit of Rs 9 crore and has almost no debt. It has been around for a long time and is currently valued at around Rs 200 crores.They are also regular in their dividend policy and the current dividend yield is around 4.3 %. A good penny stock to bet on for long term with decent fundamentals.
Update- The penny stock has more than doubled from Rs 200 crore to Rs 522 crores.

6) Nitish Estates – Nitish Estates is a leading real estate player in Bangalore . They build luxury apartments and have some good venture funding for their projects. As with many realtors they have some debt and you need to be remindful of that. This penny stock trades around Rs.14 and is a high risk bet.
Update – The stock is up by 10%.

7) Noida Toll Bridge – This is a toll bridge company promoted by IL and FS. Decent promoters. Good fundamentals. They can collect toll till 2031. At decent PE, the earnings growth will be minimal but re-rating can happen when bull market happens but you need patience. Handsome dividend yield. Good penny stock to bet on. Risk is removal of toll privileges but is remote possibility. New addition in 2016 penny stocks list.

8) Lycos Internet – New addition in Mar 2016. This is a Advertising company involved in Ad Media. Certainly the numbers say it is not a penny stock. It has great numbers in last 2 quarters. But the authenticity of numbers of this penny stock must be drilled further.The company has good ROE and ROCE and does not deserve to be a penny stock or trade at PE of 2.5. Again, not sure why market has not looked at this stock. Tread carefully and watch closely. If their numbers are true , when bull markets start there is chance for out-performance.